Working Papers

• Sequential Deliberation in Collective Decision-Making: The Case of the FOMC.

• Social Learning Behind Closed Doors: Evidence from Seniority Voting in the US Supreme Court (with Ben Johnson)

• Learning through Imitation: an Experiment (with Marina Agranov, Omer Tamuz, Philipp Strack).

Work in Progress

• Reputation for Competence: Evidence from the FOMC (with Matias Iaryczower).

• The Revealed Preferences of Small Donors (with Matias Iaryczower and Ted Enamorado).

• Chasing Eyeballs: The Role of Consumer Advertising in Shaping Political Polarization (with Sergio Montero and Matt Shum)

• Scaling Votes and Words from the FOMC (with with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic)

Publications

• Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability (Forthcoming at the American Journal of Political Science) with Matias Iaryczower and Adam Meirowitz.

• The Dynamics of Electoral Coalitions (Forthcoming at the American Journal of Political Science) with Anderson Frey and Sergio Montero

• Scaling Data from Multiple Sources (Political Analysis (2021) Vol. 29, pp. 212-235) with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic

• Policy Deliberation and Voter Persuasion: Experimental Evidence from an Election in the Philippines (Forthcoming at the American Journal of Political Science) with Leonard Wantchekon, Thomas Fujiwara, Daniel Rubenson, and Cecilia Pe Lero.

Other Publications

• Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth with Carlos Capistran. International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 30, No. 2, 2014, pp. 177-191.

• The Macroeconomic Expectations of Experts: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-run Forecasts with Carlos Capistran. El Trimestre Economico, Vol. LXXVII (2), No. 306, pp. 275-312, 2010, pp. 275-312.

• Inefficiencies in the Peso-Dollar Exchange Rate Market: Is it Risk Premia or Irrationality? with Andrea San Martin. La Gaceta de Economia, No.26, Spring 2009.