Research
Working Papers
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Sequential Deliberation in Collective Decision-Making: The Case of the FOMC.
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Social Learning Behind Closed Doors: Evidence from Seniority Voting in the US Supreme Court (with Ben Johnson)
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Learning through Imitation: an Experiment (with Marina Agranov, Omer Tamuz, Philipp Strack).
Work in Progress
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Reputation for Competence: Evidence from the FOMC (with Matias Iaryczower).
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The Revealed Preferences of Small Donors (with Matias Iaryczower and Ted Enamorado).
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Chasing Eyeballs: The Role of Consumer Advertising in Shaping Political Polarization (with Sergio Montero and Matt Shum)
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Scaling Votes and Words from the FOMC (with with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic)
Publications
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Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability (Forthcoming at the American Journal of Political Science) with Matias Iaryczower and Adam Meirowitz.
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The Dynamics of Electoral Coalitions (Forthcoming at the American Journal of Political Science) with Anderson Frey and Sergio Montero
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Scaling Data from Multiple Sources (Political Analysis (2021) Vol. 29, pp. 212-235) with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic
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Policy Deliberation and Voter Persuasion: Experimental Evidence from an Election in the Philippines (Forthcoming at the American Journal of Political Science) with Leonard Wantchekon, Thomas Fujiwara, Daniel Rubenson, and Cecilia Pe Lero.
Other Publications
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Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth with Carlos Capistran. International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 30, No. 2, 2014, pp. 177-191.
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The Macroeconomic Expectations of Experts: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-run Forecasts with Carlos Capistran. El Trimestre Economico, Vol. LXXVII (2), No. 306, pp. 275-312, 2010, pp. 275-312.
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Inefficiencies in the Peso-Dollar Exchange Rate Market: Is it Risk Premia or Irrationality? with Andrea San Martin. La Gaceta de Economia, No.26, Spring 2009.