Working Papers

• Career Concerns in Collective Decision-Making: The Federal Open Market Committee with Matias Iaryczower and Paola Moscariello. (Under Review)

• Party Discipline across Electoral Mandates and Career Concerns: Theory and Evidence from Votes and Speech in the Mexican Congress with Camila Blanes. (Under Review)

• Social Learning and Sequential Deliberation in Policy-Making: Evidence from the FOMC

• Money and Votes in Electoral Competition: Evidence from the US Senate with Matias Iaryczower and Ted Enamorado.

Work in Progress

• Chasing Eyeballs: The Role of Consumer Advertising in Shaping Political Polarization, with Sergio Montero and Matt Shum.

• Scaling Votes and Words from the FOMC, with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic.

• Campaign Issues and Media Coverage, with Matias Iaryczower and Sergio Montero.

Publications

• Learning through Imitation: An Experiment with Marina Agranov, Philipp Strack, and Omer Tamuz. Journal of Economic Theory, 235 (2026), 106203.

• Social Learning Behind Closed Doors: Evidence from Seniority Voting in the US Supreme Court with Ben Johnson. Quarterly Journal of Political Science (2025), published online ahead of print.

• Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability with Matias Iaryczower and Adam Meirowitz. American Journal of Political Science, 68(2) (2024), 696–713.

• Sleeping with the Enemy: Effective Representation under Dynamic Electoral Competition with Anderson Frey and Sergio Montero. American Journal of Political Science, 67(4) (2023), 915–931.

• Policy Deliberation and Voter Persuasion: Experimental Evidence from an Election in the Philippines with Leonard Wantchekon, Daniel Rubenson, Thomas Fujiwara, and Cecilia Pe Lero. American Journal of Political Science, 66(1) (2022), 59–74.

• Scaling Data from Multiple Sources with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic. Political Analysis, 29 (2021), 212–235.

Other Publications

• Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth with Carlos Capistran. International Journal of Forecasting, 30(2) (2014), 177–191.

• The Macroeconomic Expectations of Experts: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-run Forecasts with Carlos Capistran. El Trimestre Económico, LXXVII(2), no. 306 (2010), 275–312.

• Inefficiencies in the Peso-Dollar Exchange Rate Market: Is it Risk Premia or Irrationality? with Andrea San Martin. La Gaceta de Economía, no. 26 (Spring 2009).