Working Papers

• Sequential Deliberation in Collective Decision-Making: The Case of the FOMC.

• Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability with Matias Iaryczower and Adam Meirowitz.

• Scaling Data from Multiple Sources (Conditionally Accepted at Political Analysis) with Ted Enamorado and Marc Ratkovic

• The Dynamics of Electoral Coalitions with Anderson Frey and Sergio Montero

Work in Progress

• Reputation for Competence: Evidence from the FOMC (with Matias Iaryczower).

• Forecast Biases among Experts: Evidence from the FOMC.

• Chasing Eyeballs: The Role of Consumer Advertising in Shaping Political Polarization (with Sergio Montero and Matt Shum)

• Sequential Decision-Making in the Supreme Court (with Ben Johnson)

• Campaign Issues and Media Coverage (with Matias Iaryczower and Sergio Montero)

• Heterogeneous Voter Responses to Campaign Advertising ( with Sergio Montero)

Publications

• Policy Deliberation and Voter Persuasion: Experimental Evidence from an Election in the Philippines (Forthcoming at AJPS) with Leonard Wantchekon, Thomas Fujiwara, Daniel Rubenson, and Cecilia Pe Lero.

• Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth with Carlos Capistran. International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 30, No. 2, 2014, pp. 177-191.

Publications (In Spanish)

• The Macroeconomic Expectations of Experts: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-run Forecasts with Carlos Capistran. El Trimestre Economico, Vol. LXXVII (2), No. 306, pp. 275-312, 2010, pp. 275-312.

• Inefficiencies in the Peso-Dollar Exchange Rate Market: Is it Risk Premia or Irrationality? with Andrea San Martin. La Gaceta de Economia, No.26, Spring 2009.